Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-20 3.802802 4.080915 4.377605 4.719061 5.102942 5.523243 6.021051
2025-04-27 3.404232 3.805302 4.261458 4.824718 5.510174 6.328991 7.399674
2025-05-04 3.162186 3.634021 4.195000 4.923772 5.865286 7.070547 8.783728
2025-05-11 2.939051 3.445978 4.068623 4.909164 6.047071 7.588170 9.941078
2025-05-18 2.752729 3.279196 3.942933 4.867599 6.169710 8.021924 11.040048
2025-05-25 2.563467 3.090301 3.767727 4.734611 6.139067 8.217836 11.795732
2025-06-01 2.417246 2.945140 3.636067 4.644265 6.151576 8.468630 12.677822
2025-06-08 2.324496 2.863171 3.581241 4.653625 6.307065 8.956303 14.073204
2025-06-15 2.261955 2.816685 3.569933 4.721861 6.555967 9.628124 15.982057
2025-06-22 2.135847 2.675591 3.415983 4.563332 6.423722 9.621054 16.510564
2025-06-29 2.036441 2.566516 3.301190 4.455199 6.362000 9.728952 17.312514
2025-07-06 1.951192 2.473123 3.203611 4.365981 6.321889 9.868519 18.222078
2025-07-13 1.879205 2.398480 3.134005 4.323250 6.370530 10.210766 19.804606
2025-07-20 1.847634 2.380571 3.147910 4.416368 6.671265 11.113080 23.243540
2025-07-27 1.816572 2.361351 3.157941 4.502910 6.969812 12.073993 27.397502
2025-08-03 1.763979 2.307659 3.111587 4.490171 7.078421 12.639021 30.658881
2025-08-10 1.709880 2.249179 3.054365 4.453890 7.136136 13.097632 33.863111
2025-08-17 1.641575 2.166647 2.955292 4.337664 7.021629 13.118092 35.398137
2025-08-24 1.585764 2.100952 2.879976 4.258577 6.975178 13.303225 37.797653
2025-08-31 1.552116 2.067591 2.854627 4.266775 7.110508 13.988469 43.111004
2025-09-07 1.531065 2.052542 2.857820 4.326509 7.362148 15.052231 51.685665
2025-09-14 1.471466 1.975842 2.756975 4.187641 7.164792 14.799768 52.379741
2025-09-21 1.423522 1.915915 2.681676 4.092731 7.058056 14.800366 54.824980